Hedging Ratio Measurement Methods and Hedging Effectiveness in Jakarta Futures Exchanges

Buddi Wibowo

DOI: https://doi.org/10.23917/jep.v18i1.3473

Abstract

Estimation method of  hedge ratio is a crucial step in hedging strategies in the commodity futures market. This study examines the effectiveness of hedging strategy against cash position in Indonesia’s cocoa beans and Robusta coffee spot market using three hedge ratio estimation methods: OLS, Vector Error Correction Model, and Threshold-ARCH. The results show the hedging effectiveness in the Jakarta Futures Exchange is considerably highly effective to reduce the impact of fluctuations of spot price. The effectiveness of hedging strategy using  OLS as the  simplest method is close to VECM method and TARCH. Implementation OLS hedge ratio resulted  the highest hedging  effectiveness and give a strong support for market players in executing a hedging strategy in Jakarta Futures Exchange due to OLS  simplicity in estimation procedure

Keywords

Hedge ratio; hedging effectiveness; OLS; VECM; TARCH

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