SIMULASI KETERSEDIAAN BERAS DI JAWA TIMUR

Annisa Kesy Garside(1*), Hasyim Yusuf Asjari(2),

(1) Jurusan Teknik Industri, Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang, Jl. Raya Tlogomas 246 Malang 65144 Jawa Timur
(2) Jurusan Teknik Industri, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember, Kampus ITS, Sukolilo, Surabaya 60111
(*) Corresponding Author
DOI: https://doi.org/10.23917/jiti.v14i1.623

Abstract

East Java province is one of the rice granary and is an important national food buffer. In 2014, East Java targeted to contribute 60% of 10 million tons national surplus in P2NB program. Objective of this research is to predict rice availability in 2013 to 2020 and analyze East Java readiness on achieving the target. Research steps starts from cause-effect diagram, stock and flow diagram, math formulation inside the diagram, verification and validation of the model, and simulation of developed model. Result of dynamical system indicates availability of rice in 2014 is 3,944,377.7 tons. With such availability, East Java target to contribute 60% of 10 million national rice surplus in 2014 cannot be achieved.

Keywords

simulation; dynamic systems; rice; East Java

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