UJI KAUSALITAS GRANGER: INFLASI DAN PENGANGGURAN DI INDONESIA

Eny Setyowati

DOI: https://doi.org/10.23917/jep.v4i1.4012

Abstract

Inflation and unemployment in Indonesia are specific problems which need government attention. To overcome inflation, we must understand first some factors causing the rise of inflation, before making a policy. In relation to inflation, the number of unemployment can be influenced via company where the employees where the employees work or via manpower market.

In this article the writer carried out a causality test of the relation between inflation (I) and unemployment (11) using Granger test model. In this test the writer formulated that the current inflation variable value (It) connected to past inflation and past unemployment level. The writer also tested the variable of current employment level (Ut) where current employment level is influenced by past inflation and employment levels

Keywords

inflation; unemployment; productivity; excess demand; excess supply

References

De Belle A. Gamn, December 1998. Is the Believe Curve? Some Evident and Applications for Australia. Vol. 74 No. 227. The Economic of Australia. 384-398 Dornbusch, Macro Economics

Gillbert, C.L. February 1976. Original Phillips Curve Estimation Economics. No. 43 the London School of Economic and Political Science. 51-57

Gujarati, Damodar, Basic Econometric.

Holmes, Jim M. and David J. Smith. August 1970. The Relations between Unemployment and Excess Demand for Labour, an examination of the Phillips Curve. Economica the London School of Economic and Political Science, 311-314.

I Komang Gede Bendesa. 1996. The structural Change of Employment and Education in Indonesia. The Indonesian Quarterly Vol. 20 No. 4. 447-460

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