Application of Imprecise Decision Modeling for Regional Development Policies in Indonesia

Novita Erlinda(1*), Akhmad Fauzi(2), Akhmad Fauzi(3), Slamet Sutomo(4), Slamet Sutomo(5), Eka Intan Kumala Putri(6), Eka Intan Kumala Putri(7)

(1) School of Rural Planning and Development Bogor Agricultural University
(2) School of Rural Planning and Development Bogor Agricultural University
(3) School of Rural Planning and Development Bogor Agricultural University
(4) School of Rural Planning and Development Bogor Agricultural University
(5) School of Rural Planning and Development Bogor Agricultural University
(6) School of Rural Planning and Development Bogor Agricultural University
(7) School of Rural Planning and Development Bogor Agricultural University
(*) Corresponding Author

Abstract

Regional Development encompasses many aspect of economic, social, and environmental attributes. In the context of developing country, the decision to fulfill these attributes are often hindered by lack of clear development scenarios and constraints. This study is an attempt to capture the complexity of decision makers for regional development scenarios using imprecise decision modeling (IDM) by incorporating imprecise information and uncertainties. A series of social, economic and environmental criteria based on agreement from multi stakeholders dialogues were developed along with four policy development scenarios. Results from such a modeling provides variety of decision alternatives based on probabilities and risk assessment associated with achieving policy objectives.

Keywords

Regional development, imprecise decision modeling, risk and imprecise information

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References

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